Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000721 0.000825 0.000936 0.001062 0.001200 0.001347 0.001516
2025-01-12 0.000549 0.000691 0.000852 0.001048 0.001277 0.001535 0.001846
2025-01-19 0.000453 0.000608 0.000794 0.001028 0.001313 0.001646 0.002059
2025-01-26 0.000399 0.000567 0.000777 0.001051 0.001395 0.001808 0.002335
2025-02-02 0.000356 0.000533 0.000760 0.001068 0.001466 0.001954 0.002591
2025-02-09 0.000307 0.000484 0.000721 0.001051 0.001488 0.002037 0.002768
2025-02-16 0.000265 0.000440 0.000682 0.001029 0.001501 0.002106 0.002926
2025-02-23 0.000240 0.000417 0.000670 0.001041 0.001556 0.002229 0.003154
2025-03-02 0.000217 0.000395 0.000656 0.001048 0.001604 0.002342 0.003371
2025-03-09 0.000188 0.000359 0.000618 0.001019 0.001599 0.002382 0.003491
2025-03-16 0.000162 0.000325 0.000582 0.000989 0.001590 0.002416 0.003601
2025-03-23 0.000146 0.000306 0.000565 0.000986 0.001618 0.002499 0.003779
2025-03-30 0.000131 0.000288 0.000550 0.000985 0.001650 0.002590 0.003973
2025-04-06 0.000116 0.000268 0.000529 0.000973 0.001665 0.002657 0.004134
2025-04-13 0.000101 0.000246 0.000504 0.000954 0.001667 0.002705 0.004268
2025-04-20 0.000095 0.000240 0.000505 0.000975 0.001732 0.002844 0.004532
2025-04-27 0.000088 0.000233 0.000504 0.000992 0.001789 0.002973 0.004785
2025-05-04 0.000077 0.000216 0.000483 0.000975 0.001792 0.003022 0.004924
2025-05-11 0.000068 0.000199 0.000461 0.000954 0.001789 0.003060 0.005046
2025-05-18 0.000063 0.000192 0.000457 0.000966 0.001836 0.003175 0.005284
2025-05-25 0.000057 0.000185 0.000451 0.000973 0.001876 0.003280 0.005506
2025-06-01 0.000049 0.000169 0.000427 0.000945 0.001858 0.003293 0.005593
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000153 0.000404 0.000917 0.001837 0.003302 0.005672